MIA — Week 2 at SF, who allow the 13th-most points to RBs — recently Kyren Williams put up 12.5 on them (W1).
10.6 PPR points against LV on 11 car, 36 yd · 4/5 rec, 30 yd — missed his 17.5 projection by 6.9. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
De'Von Achane projects 16.9 PPR points in week 2 at SF — the 13th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 10.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs SF: 122 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.21 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 13th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 86% offensive snaps · 15.5 carries/game (66% of team carries) · 82.4% of the backfield's touches · 5.5 targets/game, 22.3% target share · 55 rushing and 24.5 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 75.4% offensive snaps, 14.9 carries/game (58.5% of team carries), 69.2% of the backfield's touches, 5.3 targets/game, 18.8% target share, 84.4 rushing and 30.5 receiving yards/game, 12 TD. (2025) TD luck: 12 scored vs 6.6 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 9.3 · median 14.7 · ceiling 22.8 — 83% chance of 10+, 47% of 15+, 20% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare De'Von Achane in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ SF | Sun, Sep 20 | 13.4 | 15.2 | 16.9 | 13th |
| W3 | vs KC | Sun, Sep 27 | 12.4 | 14.2 | 16.0 | 26th · tough |
| W4 | @ MIN | Sun, Oct 4 | 12.1 | 13.8 | 15.5 | 30th · tough |
| W5 | vs CIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 15.3 | 17.0 | 18.8 | 20th |
| W7 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 25 | 14.5 | 16.3 | 18.1 | 32nd · tough |
| W8 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 1 | 12.7 | 14.5 | 16.3 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LV | 11 car, 36 yd · 4/5 rec, 30 yd | 6.6 | 8.6 | 10.6 |