Sleepers & Values

The players our numbers like a lot more than the market does — with the reason, not just the rank. Positive Δ = how many draft slots earlier we'd take them than the room will.

Jayden Daniels QB · WAS — our rank 39, drafted ~57 (18 spots of free value)
Dual-threat; elbow healed. Rushing TDs shine in 6-pt-pass scoring.
Joe Burrow QB · CIN — our rank 31, drafted ~44 (13 spots of free value)
Elite passer; 6-pt pass TDs push him into top tier.
Drake Maye QB · NE — our rank 26, drafted ~40 (14 spots of free value)
Ascending dual-threat; sneaky 6-pt-pass value.
Brock Purdy QB · SF — our rank 62, drafted ~82 (20 spots of free value)
Efficient passer in a good scheme; solid QB2 streamer.
Sam LaPorta TE · DET — our rank 58, drafted ~72 (14 spots of free value)
Back procedure; elite offense = TE1 upside if 100%.
Justin Herbert QB · LAC — our rank 79, drafted ~93 (14 spots of free value)
High volume; 6-pt TDs make him a strong QB1.
Caleb Williams QB · CHI — our rank 61, drafted ~79 (18 spots of free value)
Talented dual-threat; year-2 leap candidate.
Matthew Stafford QB · LAR — our rank 77, drafted ~94 (17 spots of free value)
Volume passer; age/back are the risks.
Jared Goff QB · DET — our rank 94, drafted ~108 (14 spots of free value)
Great offense = big pass-TD totals; strong 6-pt-pass QB1.
Patrick Mahomes QB · KC — our rank 74, drafted ~89 (15 spots of free value)
ACL fully cleared, targeting Week 1; elite ceiling, mobility TBD early.
Bo Nix QB · DEN — our rank 101, drafted ~115 (14 spots of free value)
Ankle healed; rushing floor + good offense = QB1 streamer.
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX — our rank 66, drafted ~80 (14 spots of free value)
Bounce-back season; solid QB2.
Dalton Kincaid TE · BUF — our rank 92, drafted ~107 (15 spots of free value)
TD upside catching from Allen.
Mark Andrews TE · BAL — our rank 108, drafted ~125 (17 spots of free value)
Red-zone TE; still scores in a great offense.
Baker Mayfield QB · TB — our rank 128, drafted ~147 (19 spots of free value)
Sneaky-good; strong pass-TD volume.
Kyler Murray QB · MIN — our rank 124, drafted ~141 (17 spots of free value)
New MIN weapons + rushing = 6-pt-pass upside.
T.J. Hockenson TE · MIN — our rank 120, drafted ~136 (16 spots of free value)
Volume TE; solid streamer.
Dallas Goedert TE · PHI — our rank 89, drafted ~104 (15 spots of free value)
TD equity in a great offense when healthy.
Eddy Pineiro K · SF — our rank 149, drafted ~178 (29 spots of free value)
Good offense = scoring chances.
Tyler Loop K · BAL — our rank 145, drafted ~167 (22 spots of free value)
Elite offense boosts volume.
Evan McPherson K · CIN — our rank 158, drafted ~195 (37 spots of free value)
Strong leg in a high-scoring offense.
Cairo Santos K · CHI — our rank 155, drafted ~191 (36 spots of free value)
Steady veteran.
Andy Borregales K · NE — our rank 166, drafted ~211 (45 spots of free value)
Rookie leg with upside.
Chase McLaughlin K · TB — our rank 152, drafted ~184 (32 spots of free value)
Accurate in a good offense.
What makes the list. A player appears when our board rank beats his market rank by 8+ slots. The reasons come from the same levers that build the board — workload, offense, dual-threat production, injury discounts on the players around him. Rebuilt nightly, so a riser can graduate off this page by getting expensive.