Wondering who you should start this week — Cairo Santos or Harrison Butker? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Cairo Santos — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.2 points. The matchup leans Cairo Santos (TB allow the 3rd-most K points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Cairo SantosSTART
vs TB
8.1
3rd · soft
11
–
healthy
Harrison Butker
vs NYJ
7.9
24th
6.7
–
healthy
Ks vs TB recently: Brandon Aubrey 5 pts (W5) · Chris Boswell 17 pts (W6) · Nick Folk -1 pts (W8).
Ks vs NYJ recently: Andy Borregales 7 pts (W6) · Zane Gonzalez 4 pts (W7) · Matt Gay 10 pts (W8).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.2 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Cairo Santos has the higher floor (3.7) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Harrison Butker has the higher ceiling (13.3) — the play if you need points.
Cairo Santos is steady — about 14% less volatile week to week than a typical K projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Cairo Santos faces TB, 3rd most generous to Ks.
Harrison Butker faces NYJ, 24th most generous to Ks.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.