Wondering who you should start this week — Cairo Santos or Matt Gay? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Matt Gay — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.1 points. The matchup leans Matt Gay (SF allow the 6th-most K points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Cairo Santos
vs TB
8.1
3rd · soft
11
–
healthy
Matt GaySTART
@ SF
8.2
6th · soft
10
–
healthy
Ks vs TB recently: Brandon Aubrey 5 pts (W5) · Chris Boswell 17 pts (W6) · Nick Folk -1 pts (W8).
Ks vs SF recently: Jason Myers 23 pts (W5) · Drew Stevens 7 pts (W6) · Nick Folk 10 pts (W7).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.1 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Cairo Santos has the higher floor (3.7) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Matt Gay has the higher ceiling (14) — the play if you need points.
Cairo Santos is steady — about 14% less volatile week to week than a typical K projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Cairo Santos faces TB, 3rd most generous to Ks.
Matt Gay faces SF, 6th most generous to Ks.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.