Wondering who you should start this week — Matt Gay or Trey Smack? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Matt Gay — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.7 points. The matchup leans Matt Gay (SF allow the 6th-most K points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Matt GaySTART
@ SF
8.3
6th · soft
10
–
healthy
Trey Smack
@ NE
7.6
20th
6
–
healthy
Ks vs SF recently: Jason Myers 23 pts (W5) · Drew Stevens 7 pts (W6) · Nick Folk 10 pts (W7).
Ks vs NE recently: Jason Sanders 15 pts (W6) · Cairo Santos 14 pts (W7) · Zane Gonzalez 8 pts (W8).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.7 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Matt Gay has the higher floor (3) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Matt Gay has the higher ceiling (14.1) — the play if you need points.
Trey Smack is boom-or-bust — about 18% more volatile week to week than a typical K projected here — wider range in both directions.
Matt Gay faces SF, 6th most generous to Ks.
Trey Smack faces NE, 20th most generous to Ks.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.