NYJ — Week 2 vs GB, who allow the 12th-most points to WRs — recently Justin Jefferson put up 23.2 on them (W1).
9.0 PPR points against TEN on 3/3 rec, 60 yd — right on his 6.5 projection (+2.5). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Adonai Mitchell projects 7.8 PPR points in week 2 vs GB — the 12th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs GB: 151 passing yards a game allowed (6.29/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how GB defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 69% offensive snaps · 7.5 targets/game, 23.2% target share · 53% air-yard share (aDOT 15.8) · 4.5 catches for 61.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 50.6% offensive snaps, 4.6 targets/game, 15.3% target share, 30.3% air-yard share (aDOT 14.9), 2.1 catches for 28.3 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 5 · ceiling 14.1 — 21% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Adonai Mitchell in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs GB | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.3 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 12th |
| W3 | @ DET | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.2 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 3rd · soft |
| W4 | @ CHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 6th · soft |
| W5 | vs CLE | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 2nd · soft |
| W6 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 6.9 | 13th |
| W7 | vs MIA | Sun, Oct 25 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 7.3 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | TEN | 3/3 rec, 60 yd | 6.0 | 7.5 | 9.0 |