IND · IR — Heel — Week 11 at HOU, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Jakobi Meyers put up 8.3 on them (W6), Malik Nabers put up 11.1 on them (W7).
Alec Pierce projects 9.3 PPR points in week 11 at HOU — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs HOU: 262.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.48/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 42.5% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 12% target share · 28.7% air-yard share (aDOT 16.1) · 2.5 catches for 36 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 85.9% offensive snaps, 5.6 targets/game, 17.6% target share, 40.6% air-yard share (aDOT 19), 3.1 catches for 66.9 yards/game, 6 TD. (2025) TD luck: 6 scored vs 5.6 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Alec Pierce in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W11 | @ HOU | Thu, Nov 19 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 4th · soft |
| W12 | vs NYG | Sun, Nov 29 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 17th |
| W14 | @ PHI | Sun, Dec 13 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1st · soft |
| W15 | @ TEN | Sun, Dec 20 | 6.8 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 2nd · soft |
| W16 | vs CIN | Sat, Dec 26 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 9.6 | 12th |
| W17 | @ CLE | Sun, Jan 3 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 20th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | KC | 1/1 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W1 | BAL | 4/6 rec, 61 yd | 6.1 | 8.1 | 10.1 |