DET · Questionable — Ribs — Week 9 at MIA, who allow the 29th-most points to WRs — recently Omar Cooper Jr. put up 17.5 on them (W7), DeMario Douglas put up 13.6 on them (W8).
12.6 PPR points against MIN on 1 car, 10 yd · 7/8 rec, 46 yd — missed his 16.7 projection by 4.1. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 20.3 PPR points in week 9 at MIA — the 29th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 16.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIA: 230.9 passing yards a game allowed (8.29/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 84.4% offensive snaps · 10.9 targets/game, 31.8% target share · 34.3% air-yard share (aDOT 8.4) · 7.6 catches for 81.6 yards/game, 5 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 85.2% offensive snaps, 10.1 targets/game, 31.7% target share, 38.7% air-yard share (aDOT 8.1), 6.9 catches for 82.4 yards/game, 11 TD. (2026) TD luck: 5 scored vs 5.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 7.2 · median 16.3 · ceiling 27.2 — 78% chance of 10+, 55% of 15+, 31% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Amon-Ra St. Brown in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 8 | 13.2 | 16.8 | 20.3 | 29th · tough |
| W10 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 15 | 11.9 | 15.2 | 18.5 | 11th |
| W11 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 22 | 13.2 | 16.5 | 19.8 | 26th · tough |
| W12 | vs CHI | Thu, Nov 26 | 13.4 | 16.6 | 19.8 | 13th |
| W13 | @ ATL | Sun, Dec 6 | 12.2 | 15.4 | 18.6 | 16th |
| W14 | vs TEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 13.2 | 16.7 | 20.1 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | MIN | 1 car, 10 yd · 7/8 rec, 46 yd | 5.6 | 9.1 | 12.6 |
| W7 | GB | 1 car, -1 yd · 9/11 rec, 153 yd | 15.2 | 19.7 | 24.2 |
| W5 | ARI | 6/11 rec, 69 yd | 6.9 | 9.9 | 12.9 |
| W4 | CAR | 8/11 rec, 75 yd | 7.5 | 11.5 | 15.5 |
| W3 | NYJ | 4/8 rec, 19 yd, 1 TD | 7.9 | 9.9 | 11.9 |
| W2 | BUF | 9/13 rec, 142 yd, 2 TD | 26.2 | 30.7 | 35.2 |
| W1 | NO | 10/14 rec, 67 yd, 2 TD | 18.7 | 23.7 | 28.7 |