LV — Week 2 at LAC, who allow the 16th-most points to RBs — recently Jeremiyah Love put up 11 on them (W1).
32.7 PPR points against MIA on 23 car, 102 yd · 6/6 rec, 45 yd, 2 TD — beat his 13.8 projection by 18.9. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Ashton Jeanty projects 15.9 PPR points in week 2 at LAC — the 16th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 32.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAC: 116 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.41 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 74% offensive snaps · 22 carries/game (66.7% of team carries) · 81.4% of the backfield's touches · 6.5 targets/game, 22.4% target share · 75 rushing and 30 receiving yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 77.9% offensive snaps, 15.6 carries/game (72.1% of team carries), 84.3% of the backfield's touches, 4.3 targets/game, 14.8% target share, 57.4 rushing and 20.4 receiving yards/game, 10 TD. (2025) TD luck: 10 scored vs 7.5 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 6.6 · median 13.4 · ceiling 23.7 — 68% chance of 10+, 41% of 15+, 20% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Ashton Jeanty in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ LAC | Sun, Sep 20 | 12.3 | 14.1 | 15.9 | 16th |
| W3 | @ NO | Sun, Sep 27 | 10.1 | 11.9 | 13.7 | 5th · soft |
| W4 | vs KC | Sun, Oct 4 | 10.6 | 12.3 | 14.1 | 26th · tough |
| W5 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 11 | 10.9 | 12.7 | 14.5 | 23rd |
| W6 | vs BUF | Sun, Oct 18 | 12.6 | 14.3 | 16.0 | 6th · soft |
| W7 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 9.9 | 11.8 | 13.7 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIA | 23 car, 102 yd · 6/6 rec, 45 yd, 2 TD | 26.7 | 29.7 | 32.7 |