NO — Week 1 at DET, who allow the 23rd-most points to RBs — recently Aaron Jones put up 12.3 on them (W17), Kyle Monangai put up 4.9 on them (W18).
Audric Estime projects 1.5 PPR points in week 1 at DET — the 23rd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 13 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs DET: 114.5 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.37 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how DET defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 15% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 39.3% offensive snaps · 9.2 carries/game · 7.3% target share. TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Audric Estime in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ DET | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 23rd |
| W2 | @ BAL | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 14th |
| W3 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 13th |
| W4 | vs ATL | Mon, Oct 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 17th |
| W5 | vs MIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 21st |
| W6 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | ATL | 21 car, 63 yd · 5/5 rec, 43 yd | 10.6 | 13.1 | 15.6 |
| W17 | TEN | 14 car, 94 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 15.8 | 16.3 | 16.8 |
| W16 | NYJ | 5 car, 19 yd · 3/4 rec, 17 yd | 3.6 | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| W15 | CAR | 3 car, 11 yd · 3/3 rec, 39 yd | 5.0 | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| W14 | TB | 3 car, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |