WAS — Week 5 vs NYG, who allow the 16th-most points to RBs — recently Tony Pollard put up 9.6 on them (W3), Tyler Allgeier put up 10.9 on them (W4).
5.0 PPR points against IND on 4 car, 29 yd · 1/2 rec, 11 yd. The week 5 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Austin Ekeler projects 3.8 PPR points in week 5 vs NYG — the 16th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 5 angle vs NYG: 107.3 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.66 a carry · 0.5 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 27% offensive snaps · 4 carries/game (18.2% of team carries) · 25% of the backfield's touches · 2 targets/game, 5.6% target share · 29 rushing and 11 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (2 games): 49.5% offensive snaps, 7 carries/game (27.5% of team carries), 51.2% of the backfield's touches, 3.5 targets/game, 10.2% target share, 21.5 rushing and 19 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. (2025) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 5 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.3 · median 2.3 · ceiling 7.7 — 4% chance of 10+, 1% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Austin Ekeler in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | vs NYG | Sun, Oct 11 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 16th |
| W6 | @ SF | Mon, Oct 19 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 13th |
| W8 | vs PHI | Sun, Nov 1 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 12th |
| W9 | vs LAR | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W10 | @ NYG | Thu, Nov 12 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 16th |
| W11 | vs CIN | Mon, Nov 23 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | IND | 4 car, 29 yd · 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 4.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 |