ATL — Week 9 vs CIN, who allow the 10th-most points to TEs — recently Josh Cuevas put up 3.5 on them (W7), Gunnar Helm put up 9.6 on them (W8).
1.9 PPR points against TB on 1/1 rec, 9 yd — right on his 3.2 projection (-1.3). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Austin Hooper projects 3.8 PPR points in week 9 vs CIN — the 10th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 2.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CIN: 261 passing yards a game allowed (7.58/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 10th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 5.5 receiving yards · 10% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 24.6% offensive snaps · 1.8 targets/game, 6.7% target share · 3.7% air-yard share (aDOT 3.7) · 1.5 catches for 12.7 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 50% offensive snaps, 2 targets/game, 7.1% target share, 6.9% air-yard share (aDOT 9), 1.6 catches for 20.2 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.1 · median 2.4 · ceiling 6.3 — 2% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Austin Hooper in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs CIN | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 10th |
| W10 | vs KC | Sun, Nov 15 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | @ MIN | Sun, Nov 29 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 32nd · tough |
| W13 | vs DET | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 1st · soft |
| W14 | @ CLE | Sun, Dec 13 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 11th |
| W15 | @ WAS | Sun, Dec 20 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | TB | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W7 | SF | 2/2 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| W6 | CHI | 1/1 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W4 | NO | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W3 | GB | 2/2 rec, 11 yd, 1 TD | 7.1 | 8.1 | 9.1 |
| W2 | CAR | 2/4 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |