JAX — Week 2 at DEN, who allow the 2nd-most points to RBs — recently Kenneth Walker put up 31.1 on them (W1).
9.8 PPR points against CLE on 15 car, 66 yd · 1/1 rec, 22 yd — right on his 11.3 projection (-1.5). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Bhayshul Tuten projects 9.1 PPR points in week 2 at DEN — the 2nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 9.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs DEN: 220 rushing yards a game allowed at 5.79 a carry · 2 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how DEN defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 49% offensive snaps · 14 carries/game (50% of team carries) · 58.5% of the backfield's touches · 1.5 targets/game, 6% target share · 65.5 rushing and 9.5 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 21.1% offensive snaps, 5.5 carries/game (19.2% of team carries), 24.1% of the backfield's touches, 0.9 targets/game, 3% target share, 20.5 rushing and 5.3 receiving yards/game, 7 TD. (2025) TD luck: 7 scored vs 4.8 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.5 · median 6.8 · ceiling 15.9 — 31% chance of 10+, 14% of 15+, 5% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Bhayshul Tuten in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 7.4 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 2nd · soft |
| W3 | vs NE | Sun, Sep 27 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 10.4 | 23rd |
| W4 | @ CIN | Sun, Oct 4 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 12.5 | 20th |
| W5 | vs PHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 18th |
| W6 | vs HOU | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 28th · tough |
| W8 | vs IND | Sun, Nov 1 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CLE | 15 car, 66 yd · 1/1 rec, 22 yd | 8.8 | 9.3 | 9.8 |