JAX · Questionable — Ankle — Week 9 at BAL, who allow the 23rd-most points to RBs — recently Samaje Perine put up 7.6 on them (W7), James Cook III put up 16.1 on them (W8).
29.9 PPR points against IND on 16 car, 104 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 55 yd, 1 TD — beat his 15.3 projection by 14.6. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Bhayshul Tuten projects 14.0 PPR points in week 9 at BAL — the 23rd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 22.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs BAL: 102.5 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.76 a carry · 1.3 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 71.5 rushing yards · 19.5 receiving yards · 49% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 54.7% offensive snaps · 15.7 carries/game (55% of team carries) · 63% of the backfield's touches · 2.3 targets/game, 8.2% target share · 70.3 rushing and 25.9 receiving yards/game, 6 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 21.1% offensive snaps, 5.5 carries/game (19.2% of team carries), 24.1% of the backfield's touches, 0.9 targets/game, 3% target share, 20.5 rushing and 5.3 receiving yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 6 scored vs 4.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.8 · median 10.6 · ceiling 25.6 — 52% chance of 10+, 35% of 15+, 21% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Bhayshul Tuten in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ BAL | Thu, Nov 5 | 11.8 | 12.9 | 14.0 | 23rd |
| W10 | @ TEN | Sun, Nov 15 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 12.9 | 17th |
| W11 | @ NYG | Sun, Nov 22 | 12.0 | 12.9 | 13.8 | 19th |
| W12 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 29 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 13.1 | 17th |
| W13 | @ CHI | Sun, Dec 6 | 12.2 | 13.1 | 14.0 | 30th · tough |
| W14 | vs PIT | Mon, Dec 14 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 12.2 | 27th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | IND | 16 car, 104 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 55 yd, 1 TD | 27.9 | 28.9 | 29.9 |
| W6 | HOU | 12 car, 39 yd · 4/4 rec, 48 yd, 2 TD | 20.7 | 22.7 | 24.7 |
| W5 | PHI | 22 car, 72 yd · 2/3 rec, 24 yd | 9.6 | 10.6 | 11.6 |
| W4 | CIN | 17 car, 73 yd · 2/2 rec, 18 yd | 9.1 | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| W3 | NE | 15 car, 73 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 15.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 |
| W2 | DEN | 13 car, 65 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, -3 yd | 12.2 | 13.2 | 14.2 |
| W1 | CLE | 15 car, 66 yd · 1/1 rec, 22 yd | 8.8 | 9.3 | 9.8 |