GB — Week 1 at MIN, who allow the 32nd-most points to WRs — recently Isaac TeSlaa put up 10.9 on them (W17), Jakobie Keeney-James put up 1.5 on them (W18).
Bo Melton projects 2.0 PPR points in week 1 at MIN — the 32nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs MIN: 177.7 passing yards a game allowed (6.76/attempt) · 0.9 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 32nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 10.4% offensive snaps · 4% target share · 4.9% air-yard share (aDOT 17.1). TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Bo Melton in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ MIN | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 32nd · tough |
| W2 | @ NYJ | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 15th |
| W3 | vs ATL | Thu, Sep 24 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 9th |
| W4 | @ TB | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 16th |
| W5 | vs CHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2nd · soft |
| W6 | vs DAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1st · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W17 | BAL | 1/3 rec, 34 yd | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| W14 | CHI | 1/2 rec, 45 yd, 1 TD | 10.5 | 11.0 | 11.5 |
| W13 | DET | 2 car, 15 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| W11 | NYG | 1 car, 17 yd | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| W10 | PHI | 2/5 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| W6 | CIN | 1 car, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |