NYJ · Questionable — Quadriceps — Week 9 at KC, who allow the 24th-most points to RBs — recently Emanuel Wilson put up 17.5 on them (W7), Jonah Coleman put up 16.4 on them (W8).
Breece Hall projects 8.4 PPR points in week 9 at KC — the 24th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 14.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs KC: 96.3 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.59 a carry · 0.7 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how KC defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 41% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 3 games): 57% offensive snaps · 17 carries/game (60% of team carries) · 71.8% of the backfield's touches · 3.3 targets/game, 10.3% target share · 54.3 rushing and 34 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 64.4% offensive snaps, 15.2 carries/game (56.1% of team carries), 72.2% of the backfield's touches, 3 targets/game, 10.6% target share, 66.6 rushing and 21.9 receiving yards/game, 5 TD. (2025) TD luck: 5 scored vs 4.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.3 · median 6.2 · ceiling 13.9 — 25% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Breece Hall in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ KC | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 8.4 | 24th |
| W10 | vs BUF | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.2 | 8.3 | 9.4 | 6th · soft |
| W11 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 22 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 9th |
| W12 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 10th |
| W14 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 11th |
| W15 | @ ARI | Sun, Dec 20 | 7.6 | 8.7 | 9.9 | 15th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | DET | 13 car, 32 yd · 3/3 rec, 23 yd | 5.5 | 7.0 | 8.5 |
| W2 | GB | 16 car, 29 yd · 5/5 rec, 63 yd | 9.2 | 11.7 | 14.2 |
| W1 | TEN | 22 car, 102 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 16 yd | 17.8 | 18.8 | 19.8 |