LV — Week 9 at SF, who allow the 25th-most points to TEs — recently Chig Okonkwo put up 6.9 on them (W6), Kyle Pitts Sr. put up 8.2 on them (W7).
28.2 PPR points against NYJ on 7/10 rec, 92 yd, 2 TD — beat his 17.1 projection by 11.1. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Brock Bowers projects 18.7 PPR points in week 9 at SF — the 25th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 17.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs SF: 223.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.32/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 25th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 79.5 receiving yards · 39% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 83.2% offensive snaps · 10.2 targets/game, 29.3% target share · 34.7% air-yard share (aDOT 10) · 6.8 catches for 91.2 yards/game, 5 TD. 2025 baseline (12 games): 85.9% offensive snaps, 7.2 targets/game, 23.4% target share, 25% air-yard share (aDOT 6.5), 5.3 catches for 56.7 yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 5 scored vs 4.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 5.8 · median 13.8 · ceiling 25.7 — 66% chance of 10+, 42% of 15+, 27% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Brock Bowers in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 8 | 11.8 | 15.2 | 18.7 | 25th · tough |
| W10 | vs SEA | Sun, Nov 15 | 10.7 | 13.8 | 17.0 | 30th · tough |
| W11 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 10.5 | 13.6 | 16.6 | 9th |
| W12 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 29 | 11.1 | 14.3 | 17.4 | 11th |
| W14 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 13 | 11.8 | 15.0 | 18.2 | 26th · tough |
| W15 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 20 | 10.5 | 13.5 | 16.6 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | NYJ | 7/10 rec, 92 yd, 2 TD | 21.2 | 24.7 | 28.2 |
| W7 | LAR | 6/8 rec, 73 yd | 7.3 | 10.3 | 13.3 |
| W6 | BUF | 4/9 rec, 70 yd | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| W5 | NE | 8/10 rec, 110 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum | 15.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 |
| W4 | KC | 6/11 rec, 86 yd, 1 TD | 14.6 | 17.6 | 20.6 |
| W3 | NO | 10/14 rec, 116 yd, 1 TD | 17.6 | 22.6 | 27.6 |