SF — Week 2 vs MIA, who allow the 18th-most points to QBs — recently Kirk Cousins put up 15.8 on them (W1).
22.1 PPR points against LAR on 25/34, 205 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT · 5 car, 29 yd — beat his 18.8 projection by 3.3. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Brock Purdy projects 20.0 PPR points in week 2 vs MIA — the 18th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 22.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs MIA: 160 passing yards a game allowed (5.33/attempt) · 3 passing TDs/gm · 0 sacks and 2 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 100% offensive snaps · 28 attempts/game, 80.4% completions, 8.8 yards/attempt, 246 passing yards/game, 5 TD to 1 INT · 4 carries/game. 2025 baseline (9 games): 97.8% offensive snaps, 31.6 attempts/game, 69.4% completions, 7.6 yards/attempt, 240.8 passing yards/game, 20 TD to 10 INT, 3.7 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 20 thrown vs 22.5 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 9.2 · median 20.3 · ceiling 30.6 — 88% chance of 10+, 73% of 15+, 51% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Brock Purdy in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs MIA | Sun, Sep 20 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 18th |
| W3 | vs ARI | Sun, Sep 27 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 22nd |
| W4 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 9th |
| W5 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 11 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 24th |
| W6 | vs WAS | Mon, Oct 19 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 8th · soft |
| W7 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 25 | 19.8 | 19.8 | 19.8 | 25th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LAR | 25/34, 205 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT · 5 car, 29 yd | 22.1 | 22.1 | 22.1 |