NO — Week 5 vs MIN, who allow the 21st-most points to WRs — recently Ted Hurst put up 10 on them (W3), Malik Washington put up 7 on them (W4).
1.7 PPR points against ATL on 1/5 rec, 7 yd. The week 5 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Bryce Lance projects 2.9 PPR points in week 5 vs MIN — the 21st-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 5 angle vs MIN: 220.3 passing yards a game allowed (6.73/attempt) · 0.8 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 21st-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 73.3% offensive snaps · 3.3 targets/game, 7.2% target share · 13.4% air-yard share (aDOT 16.5) · 1.3 catches for 14.3 yards/game, 0 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Bryce Lance in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | vs MIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 21st |
| W6 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 16th |
| W7 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 25 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 24th |
| W9 | vs CLE | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5th · soft |
| W10 | vs CAR | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 28th · tough |
| W11 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 22 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | ATL | 1/5 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W2 | BAL | 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W1 | DET | 3/4 rec, 42 yd | 4.2 | 5.7 | 7.2 |