CAR — Week 9 vs DEN, who allow the 19th-most points to QBs — recently Jacoby Brissett put up 16.5 on them (W7), Patrick Mahomes put up 25.4 on them (W8).
11.4 PPR points against GB on 23/41, 209 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT — missed his 18.0 projection by 6.6. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Bryce Young projects 17.1 PPR points in week 9 vs DEN — the 19th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 12.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs DEN: 246.6 passing yards a game allowed (6.47/attempt) · 1.4 passing TDs/gm · 2.9 sacks and 0.9 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 20.8 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how DEN defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 237.5 passing yards · 1.55 passing TDs · 5.5 rushing yards · 12% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 94.4% offensive snaps · 38.4 attempts/game, 58.7% completions, 7.1 yards/attempt, 274.4 passing yards/game, 13 TD to 5 INT · 1.4 carries/game. 2025 baseline (16 games): 96.8% offensive snaps, 29.9 attempts/game, 63.6% completions, 6.3 yards/attempt, 188.2 passing yards/game, 23 TD to 11 INT, 3.4 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 13 thrown vs 15.2 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 6.2 · median 16.8 · ceiling 27.2 — 79% chance of 10+, 59% of 15+, 36% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Bryce Young in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs DEN | Sun, Nov 8 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 19th |
| W10 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 15 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 17th |
| W11 | vs BAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 13th |
| W12 | @ TB | Mon, Nov 30 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 29th · tough |
| W13 | @ MIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W14 | vs NO | Sun, Dec 13 | 19.3 | 19.3 | 19.3 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | GB | 23/41, 209 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT | 11.4 | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| W7 | TB | 14/27, 163 pass yd, 1 TD, 2 INT · 1 car, 9 yd · 1 fum | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| W6 | PHI | 20/39, 281 pass yd, 2 TD · 3 car, 6 yd | 19.8 | 19.8 | 19.8 |
| W4 | DET | 29/41, 329 pass yd, 2 TD · 3 car, 3 yd | 21.5 | 21.5 | 21.5 |
| W3 | CLE | 26/48, 291 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT | 14.6 | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| W2 | ATL | 23/36, 287 pass yd, 3 TD · 1 car, 6 yd | 24.1 | 24.1 | 24.1 |
| W1 | CHI | 23/37, 361 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT · 2 car, 10 yd, 1 TD | 32.4 | 32.4 | 32.4 |