TB — Week 9 at CHI, who allow the 30th-most points to RBs — recently Rhamondre Stevenson put up 17.5 on them (W7), Jadarian Price put up 3.7 on them (W8).
21.0 PPR points against ATL on 27 car, 170 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum — beat his 16.7 projection by 4.3. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Bucky Irving projects 17.6 PPR points in week 9 at CHI — the 30th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 17.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CHI: 86.8 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.42 a carry · 0.8 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how CHI defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 65.5 rushing yards · 14.5 receiving yards · 41% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 62.3% offensive snaps · 18.4 carries/game (55.3% of team carries) · 65.1% of the backfield's touches · 2.9 targets/game, 10.9% target share · 91 rushing and 9.8 receiving yards/game, 6 TD. 2025 baseline (10 games): 61.6% offensive snaps, 17.3 carries/game (59.2% of team carries), 68.2% of the backfield's touches, 3.5 targets/game, 10.7% target share, 58.8 rushing and 27.7 receiving yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 6 scored vs 4.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 6.3 · median 15.5 · ceiling 24.7 — 73% chance of 10+, 53% of 15+, 27% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Bucky Irving in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 8 | 14.5 | 16.0 | 17.6 | 30th · tough |
| W11 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 22 | 14.0 | 15.8 | 17.5 | 29th · tough |
| W12 | vs CAR | Mon, Nov 30 | 14.1 | 15.7 | 17.4 | 2nd · soft |
| W13 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 6 | 12.6 | 14.3 | 16.0 | 9th |
| W14 | @ BAL | Sun, Dec 13 | 11.3 | 13.0 | 14.7 | 23rd |
| W15 | vs NO | Sun, Dec 20 | 13.3 | 15.0 | 16.7 | 1st · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | ATL | 27 car, 170 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 |
| W7 | CAR | 24 car, 106 yd, 2 TD · 1/2 rec, 4 yd | 23.0 | 23.5 | 24.0 |
| W6 | PIT | 19 car, 46 yd · 2/3 rec, 3 yd | 4.9 | 5.9 | 6.9 |
| W5 | DAL | 21 car, 165 yd, 1 TD · 2/3 rec, 10 yd, 1 TD | 29.5 | 30.5 | 31.5 |
| W4 | GB | 16 car, 61 yd | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| W3 | MIN | 15 car, 46 yd · 2/4 rec, 12 yd | 5.8 | 6.8 | 7.8 |
| W2 | CLE | 17 car, 89 yd · 4/4 rec, 1 yd | 9.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| W1 | CIN | 8 car, 45 yd, 1 TD · 7/7 rec, 48 yd · 1 fum | 13.3 | 16.8 | 20.3 |