TB — Week 2 vs CLE, who allow the 12th-most points to TEs — recently Brenton Strange put up 8.3 on them (W1).
5.6 PPR points against CIN on 3/5 rec, 26 yd — right on his 7.4 projection (-1.8). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Cade Otton projects 6.9 PPR points in week 2 vs CLE — the 12th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs CLE: 245 passing yards a game allowed (10.65/attempt) · 4 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 98% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 18.4% target share · 16.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7) · 4 catches for 32 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 93.5% offensive snaps, 5.4 targets/game, 17.4% target share, 11.6% air-yard share (aDOT 5.2), 3.9 catches for 38.1 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.5 · median 4.3 · ceiling 10.6 — 13% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Cade Otton in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CLE | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 12th |
| W3 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 27 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 9th |
| W4 | vs GB | Sun, Oct 4 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 8th · soft |
| W5 | @ DAL | Thu, Oct 8 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 1st · soft |
| W6 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 18 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 7.0 | – |
| W7 | @ CAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 11th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CIN | 3/5 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 4.1 | 5.6 |