MIA · Questionable — Ankle — Week 2 at SF, who allow the 28th-most points to WRs — recently Puka Nacua put up 7.4 on them (W1).
14.4 PPR points against LV on 5/7 rec, 94 yd — beat his 5.4 projection by 9. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Caleb Douglas projects 8.9 PPR points in week 2 at SF — the 28th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 14.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs SF: 168 passing yards a game allowed (6/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 28th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 91% offensive snaps · 5 targets/game, 19.5% target share · 20.7% air-yard share (aDOT 11.4) · 3.5 catches for 56.5 yards/game, 0 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.6 · median 5.8 · ceiling 14.9 — 23% chance of 10+, 10% of 15+, 5% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Caleb Douglas in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ SF | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 8.9 | 28th · tough |
| W3 | vs KC | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 31st · tough |
| W4 | @ MIN | Sun, Oct 4 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 8.4 | 1st · soft |
| W5 | vs CIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.4 | 7.9 | 9.5 | 21st |
| W7 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 25 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 9.3 | 23rd |
| W8 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 1 | 5.9 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LV | 5/7 rec, 94 yd | 9.4 | 11.9 | 14.4 |