TEN — Week 2 vs PHI, who allow the 9th-most points to WRs — recently Antonio Williams put up 12.4 on them (W1).
Calvin Ridley projects 5.1 PPR points in week 2 vs PHI — the 9th-ranked matchup for WRs. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs PHI: 164 passing yards a game allowed (4.82/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 9th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 64% offensive snaps · 2 targets/game, 11.8% target share · 19.3% air-yard share (aDOT 13.5) · 2 catches for 35 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (7 games): 57.1% offensive snaps, 5.1 targets/game, 16.8% target share, 24.4% air-yard share (aDOT 12.6), 2.4 catches for 43.3 yards/game, 0 TD. (2025) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 3.3 · ceiling 9.6 — 9% chance of 10+, 1% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Calvin Ridley in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs PHI | Sun, Sep 20 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 9th |
| W3 | @ NYG | Sun, Sep 27 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 18th |
| W4 | @ BAL | Sun, Oct 4 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 6.1 | 24th |
| W5 | vs HOU | Sun, Oct 11 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 5th · soft |
| W6 | @ IND | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 7th · soft |
| W7 | vs CLE | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 2nd · soft |