TEN — Week 10 vs JAX, who allow the 24th-most points to QBs — recently C.J. Stroud put up 24 on them (W6), Daniel Jones put up 8.5 on them (W8).
26.3 PPR points against CIN on 26/40, 304 pass yd, 2 TD · 7 car, 41 yd · 1 fum — beat his 12.7 projection by 13.6. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Cam Ward projects 13.1 PPR points in week 10 vs JAX — the 24th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 13.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs JAX: 264.3 passing yards a game allowed (7.64/attempt) · 1.1 passing TDs/gm · 2.1 sacks and 1.3 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 12.6 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 100% offensive snaps · 31 attempts/game, 62.5% completions, 6 yards/attempt, 185.4 passing yards/game, 6 TD to 5 INT · 3.3 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 94.6% offensive snaps, 31.8 attempts/game, 59.8% completions, 5.9 yards/attempt, 186.4 passing yards/game, 15 TD to 7 INT, 2.3 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 6 thrown vs 8.6 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Cam Ward in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 15 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 24th |
| W11 | @ DAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 29 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 24th |
| W13 | vs WAS | Sun, Dec 6 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 4th · soft |
| W14 | @ DET | Sun, Dec 13 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 1st · soft |
| W15 | vs IND | Sun, Dec 20 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 15th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CIN | 26/40, 304 pass yd, 2 TD · 7 car, 41 yd · 1 fum | 26.3 | 26.3 | 26.3 |
| W7 | CLE | 20/31, 181 pass yd, 1 INT · 2 car, 5 yd | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| W6 | IND | 11/22, 102 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 3 car, 7 yd | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
| W5 | HOU | 23/36, 170 pass yd, 1 INT · 1 car, 2 yd | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| W4 | BAL | 20/31, 222 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, 27 yd | 16.6 | 16.6 | 16.6 |
| W3 | NYG | 23/36, 181 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 1 car, 2 yd | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| W2 | PHI | 13/20, 183 pass yd · 4 car, 7 yd, 2 TD | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| W1 | NYJ | 19/32, 140 pass yd, 1 TD · 4 car, 21 yd | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 |