TEN · Out — Shoulder — Week 10 vs JAX, who allow the 9th-most points to WRs — recently Jaylin Noel put up 16.7 on them (W6), Josh Downs put up 8.3 on them (W8).
Carnell Tate projects 13.4 PPR points in week 10 vs JAX — the 9th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 10.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs JAX: 264.3 passing yards a game allowed (7.64/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 1.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 9th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 82% offensive snaps · 7.3 targets/game, 27% target share · 45.4% air-yard share (aDOT 12.7) · 4.9 catches for 59 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.6 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Carnell Tate in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.9 | 10.7 | 13.4 | 9th |
| W11 | @ DAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 14.9 | 5th · soft |
| W12 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 29 | 8.0 | 10.7 | 13.5 | 9th |
| W13 | vs WAS | Sun, Dec 6 | 9.6 | 12.3 | 15.1 | 14th |
| W14 | @ DET | Sun, Dec 13 | 9.2 | 11.9 | 14.7 | 7th · soft |
| W15 | vs IND | Sun, Dec 20 | 8.3 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | CLE | 5/7 rec, 69 yd · 1 fum | 4.9 | 7.4 | 9.9 |
| W6 | IND | 6/7 rec, 70 yd, 1 TD | 13.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 |
| W5 | HOU | 1/5 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W4 | BAL | 9/12 rec, 145 yd · 1 fum | 12.5 | 17.0 | 21.5 |
| W3 | NYG | 6/9 rec, 58 yd | 5.8 | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| W2 | PHI | 3/5 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 4.2 | 5.7 |
| W1 | NYJ | 4/6 rec, 38 yd | 3.8 | 5.8 | 7.8 |