DAL — Week 2 vs WAS, who allow the 15th-most points to WRs — recently Dontayvion Wicks put up 13.3 on them (W1).
15.4 PPR points against NYG on 1 car, 0 yd · 5/8 rec, 44 yd, 1 TD — right on his 17.1 projection (-1.7). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
CeeDee Lamb projects 17.8 PPR points in week 2 vs WAS — the 15th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 15.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs WAS: 203 passing yards a game allowed (8.12/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 15th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 81% offensive snaps · 8.5 targets/game, 27.8% target share · 42.4% air-yard share (aDOT 13.3) · 6.5 catches for 98.5 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 72.9% offensive snaps, 9 targets/game, 25.1% target share, 33.5% air-yard share (aDOT 12), 5.8 catches for 82.8 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 7.8 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 7.3 · median 14.6 · ceiling 23.6 — 77% chance of 10+, 47% of 15+, 19% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare CeeDee Lamb in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs WAS | Sun, Sep 20 | 11.9 | 14.9 | 17.8 | 15th |
| W3 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 10.3 | 13.3 | 16.3 | 24th |
| W4 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.8 | 12.6 | 15.4 | 5th · soft |
| W5 | vs TB | Thu, Oct 8 | 11.4 | 14.4 | 17.4 | 27th · tough |
| W6 | @ GB | Sun, Oct 18 | 10.9 | 14.0 | 17.1 | 12th |
| W7 | @ PHI | Mon, Oct 26 | 9.2 | 11.9 | 14.6 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYG | 1 car, 0 yd · 5/8 rec, 44 yd, 1 TD | 10.4 | 12.9 | 15.4 |