LAC — Week 8 at LAR, who allow the 29th-most points to TEs — recently Trey McBride put up 5.3 on them (W6), Brock Bowers put up 7.3 on them (W7).
Charlie Kolar projects 4.1 PPR points in week 8 at LAR — the 29th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 4.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs LAR: 191.1 passing yards a game allowed (5.95/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 21.5 receiving yards · 20% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 64.8% offensive snaps · 3.3 targets/game, 11.8% target share · 8.8% air-yard share (aDOT 4.8) · 2.3 catches for 19.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 40.4% offensive snaps, 1.2 targets/game, 4.6% target share, 3.7% air-yard share (aDOT 7.1), 0.8 catches for 10.9 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.1 · median 2.6 · ceiling 6.5 — 3% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Charlie Kolar in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ LAR | Sun, Nov 1 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 29th · tough |
| W9 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 28th · tough |
| W10 | @ BAL | Mon, Nov 16 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 16th |
| W11 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 22 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 27th · tough |
| W12 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 22nd |
| W13 | @ TB | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W6 | KC | 3/6 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| W5 | DEN | 3/4 rec, 37 yd · 1 fum | 1.7 | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| W2 | LV | 3/3 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 3.6 | 5.1 |