TB — Week 2 vs CLE, who allow the 2nd-most points to WRs — recently Parker Washington put up 14.3 on them (W1).
8.3 PPR points against CIN on 1 car, 3 yd · 4/4 rec, 40 yd — right on his 11.0 projection (-2.7). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Chris Godwin projects 10.4 PPR points in week 2 vs CLE — the 2nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs CLE: 245 passing yards a game allowed (10.65/attempt) · 4 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 86% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 12% target share · 5% air-yard share (aDOT 5.1) · 3.5 catches for 43 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 70.9% offensive snaps, 5.7 targets/game, 17.9% target share, 15.7% air-yard share (aDOT 7.1), 3.7 catches for 40 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.6 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.4 · median 7.3 · ceiling 15.9 — 34% chance of 10+, 12% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Chris Godwin in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CLE | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.4 | 8.4 | 10.4 | 2nd · soft |
| W3 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 10.4 | 1st · soft |
| W4 | vs GB | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 11.2 | 12th |
| W5 | @ DAL | Thu, Oct 8 | 7.7 | 10.0 | 12.3 | 26th · tough |
| W6 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 10.6 | 32nd · tough |
| W7 | @ CAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 10.8 | 10th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CIN | 1 car, 3 yd · 4/4 rec, 40 yd | 4.3 | 6.3 | 8.3 |