BAL — Week 2 vs NO, who allow the 21st-most points to WRs — recently Elic Ayomanor put up 9.7 on them (W17), Drake London put up 13.8 on them (W18).
Chris Moore projects 0.3 PPR points in week 2 vs NO — the 21st-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs NO: 196.2 passing yards a game allowed (6.79/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 21st-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 5% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 48.6% offensive snaps · 9% target share · 13.7% air-yard share (aDOT 14.4). TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Chris Moore in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NO | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 21st |
| W3 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1st · soft |
| W4 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 4th · soft |
| W5 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 9th |
| W6 | @ CLE | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 22nd |
| W7 | vs CIN | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 26th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W17 | DAL | 1/1 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| W11 | MIA | 2/5 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| W7 | DAL | 2/5 rec, 59 yd | 5.9 | 6.9 | 7.9 |
| W6 | CHI | 3/5 rec, 46 yd, 1 TD | 10.6 | 12.1 | 13.6 |
| W4 | ATL | 1 car, 9 yd · 0/3 rec, 0 yd | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| W3 | LV | 2/2 rec, 25 yd | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| W1 | NYG | 1/1 rec, 34 yd | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.4 |