JAX — Week 9 at BAL, who allow the 23rd-most points to RBs — recently Samaje Perine put up 7.6 on them (W7), James Cook III put up 16.1 on them (W8).
12.8 PPR points against IND on 6 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 17 yd — beat his 6.2 projection by 6.6. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 5.9 PPR points in week 9 at BAL — the 23rd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 6.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs BAL: 102.5 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.76 a carry · 1.3 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 24.6% offensive snaps · 6.9 carries/game (23.9% of team carries) · 25.8% of the backfield's touches · 0.6 targets/game, 2.3% target share · 28.5 rushing and 4.5 receiving yards/game, 4 TD. 2025 baseline (12 games): 31.2% offensive snaps, 9.3 carries/game (32.1% of team carries), 39.7% of the backfield's touches, 0.3 targets/game, 1.3% target share, 41.7 rushing and 2.5 receiving yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 4 scored vs 2 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.6 · median 4.7 · ceiling 11 — 12% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ BAL | Thu, Nov 5 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 23rd |
| W10 | @ TEN | Sun, Nov 15 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 17th |
| W11 | @ NYG | Sun, Nov 22 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 19th |
| W12 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 29 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 17th |
| W13 | @ CHI | Sun, Dec 6 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 30th · tough |
| W14 | vs PIT | Mon, Dec 14 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 27th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | IND | 6 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 17 yd | 11.8 | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| W6 | HOU | 11 car, 55 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| W5 | PHI | 2 car, 5 yd · 1/1 rec, 6 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W4 | CIN | 6 car, 35 yd, 1 TD | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| W3 | NE | 8 car, 37 yd, 1 TD | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| W2 | DEN | 6 car, 13 yd | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| W1 | CLE | 6 car, 23 yd | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |