SF · IR — Calf — Week 2 vs MIA, who allow the 17th-most points to WRs — recently Chris Godwin put up 16.8 on them (W17), Stefon Diggs put up 4.3 on them (W18).
Christian Kirk projects 1.4 PPR points in week 2 vs MIA — the 17th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs MIA: 230.6 passing yards a game allowed (7.61/attempt) · 1.7 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 17th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 13% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 48.6% offensive snaps · 14.6% target share · 11.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7). TD luck: 1 scored vs 3.1 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Christian Kirk in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs MIA | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 17th |
| W3 | vs ARI | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 19th |
| W4 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 31st · tough |
| W5 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 29th · tough |
| W6 | vs WAS | Mon, Oct 19 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6th · soft |
| W7 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | IND | 1/2 rec, -3 yd | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| W17 | LAC | 2/5 rec, 1 yd | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| W16 | LV | 3/5 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 5.2 | 6.7 |
| W14 | KC | 1/3 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W12 | BUF | 5/6 rec, 54 yd, 1 TD | 11.4 | 13.9 | 16.4 |
| W11 | TEN | 1/4 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W10 | JAX | 1/3 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| W9 | DEN | 4/8 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| W5 | BAL | 4/4 rec, 64 yd | 6.4 | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| W4 | TEN | 3/4 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| W3 | JAX | 3/8 rec, 25 yd | 2.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 |