LAR — Week 2 vs NYG, who allow the 25th-most points to TEs — recently Brevyn Spann-Ford put up 1.4 on them (W1).
1.6 PPR points against SF on 1/2 rec, 6 yd — missed his 5.4 projection by 3.8. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Colby Parkinson projects 5.4 PPR points in week 2 vs NYG — the 25th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 1.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYG: 175 passing yards a game allowed (5.15/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 25th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 29.5 receiving yards · 26% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 77% offensive snaps · 2 targets/game, 7.4% target share · 3.5% air-yard share (aDOT 4.5) · 1 catches for 6 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 60.4% offensive snaps, 4 targets/game, 11.7% target share, 4.5% air-yard share (aDOT 4.4), 3.1 catches for 29.1 yards/game, 8 TD. (2025) TD luck: 8 scored vs 8.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 3.5 · ceiling 9.4 — 9% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Colby Parkinson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 25th · tough |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 16th |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 27th · tough |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 19th |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 13th |
| W7 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 25 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SF | 1/2 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |