CHI — Week 2 vs MIN, who allow the 9th-most points to TEs — recently Tucker Kraft put up 6.5 on them (W1).
Colston Loveland projects 11.9 PPR points in week 2 vs MIN — the 9th-ranked matchup for TEs. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs MIN: 387 passing yards a game allowed (9.21/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 9th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 87% offensive snaps · 2.5 targets/game, 8.8% target share · 8.1% air-yard share (aDOT 8.6) · 0.5 catches for 1.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 64.5% offensive snaps, 5.1 targets/game, 16.6% target share, 16.3% air-yard share (aDOT 9.1), 3.6 catches for 44.6 yards/game, 6 TD. (2025) TD luck: 6 scored vs 5.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.8 · median 8.8 · ceiling 18 — 42% chance of 10+, 18% of 15+, 7% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Colston Loveland in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 20 | 7.6 | 9.8 | 11.9 | 9th |
| W3 | vs PHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 7.5 | 9.8 | 12.0 | 27th · tough |
| W4 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.4 | 11.9 | 14.3 | 23rd |
| W5 | @ GB | Sun, Oct 11 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 13.9 | 8th · soft |
| W6 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.8 | 11.2 | 13.6 | 7th · soft |
| W7 | vs NE | Thu, Oct 22 | 8.9 | 11.4 | 13.9 | 30th · tough |