CHI — Week 9 vs TB, who allow the 12th-most points to TEs — recently Darren Waller put up 11 on them (W7), Austin Hooper put up 0.9 on them (W8).
11.5 PPR points against SEA on 7/9 rec, 65 yd · 1 fum — right on his 9.8 projection (+1.7). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Colston Loveland projects 11.1 PPR points in week 9 vs TB — the 12th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 16.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs TB: 220.1 passing yards a game allowed (6.52/attempt) · 1.3 TDs/gm through the air · 1.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 54.5 receiving yards · 33% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 86.1% offensive snaps · 6.4 targets/game, 19.8% target share · 16.7% air-yard share (aDOT 6.6) · 4.1 catches for 38.6 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 64.5% offensive snaps, 5.1 targets/game, 16.6% target share, 16.3% air-yard share (aDOT 9.1), 3.6 catches for 44.6 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 3.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.4 · median 7.8 · ceiling 17.1 — 36% chance of 10+, 17% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Colston Loveland in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.7 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 12th |
| W11 | vs NO | Sun, Nov 22 | 6.2 | 8.5 | 10.8 | 7th · soft |
| W12 | @ DET | Thu, Nov 26 | 7.1 | 9.4 | 11.7 | 1st · soft |
| W13 | vs JAX | Sun, Dec 6 | 6.2 | 8.5 | 10.7 | 23rd |
| W14 | @ MIA | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.4 | 9.9 | 12.3 | 3rd · soft |
| W15 | @ BUF | Sat, Dec 19 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 14th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | SEA | 7/9 rec, 65 yd · 1 fum | 4.5 | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| W7 | NE | 7/12 rec, 69 yd, 1 TD | 12.9 | 16.4 | 19.9 |
| W6 | ATL | 6/7 rec, 65 yd, 1 TD | 12.5 | 15.5 | 18.5 |
| W5 | GB | 2/5 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| W4 | NYJ | 6/9 rec, 57 yd | 5.7 | 8.7 | 11.7 |
| W3 | PHI | 4/4 rec, 31 yd | 3.1 | 5.1 | 7.1 |
| W2 | MIN | 1/3 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |