LV — Week 8 at NYJ, who allow the 14th-most points to RBs — recently Corey Kiner put up 5.7 on them (W6), Ollie Gordon II put up 16.3 on them (W7).
2.3 PPR points against LAR on 1/1 rec, 13 yd — right on his 0.7 projection (+1.6). The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Connor Heyward projects 0.7 PPR points in week 8 at NYJ — the 14th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 1.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs NYJ: 127.7 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.14 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 14th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 8% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 25.6% offensive snaps · 0.6 carries/game (2.3% of team carries) · 2.8% of the backfield's touches · 0.3 targets/game, 0.6% target share · -0.3 rushing and 3.1 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 8.6% offensive snaps, 1.1 carries/game (4.5% of team carries), 4.5% of the backfield's touches, 0.3 targets/game, 0.9% target share, 3.1 rushing and 1.5 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Connor Heyward in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ NYJ | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 14th |
| W9 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 19th |
| W10 | vs SEA | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 23rd |
| W11 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 13th |
| W12 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 29 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 20th |
| W14 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | LAR | 1/1 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| W4 | KC | 2 car, -4 yd · 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W2 | LAC | 1 car, 1 yd | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| W1 | MIA | 1 car, 1 yd | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |