SEA — Week 2 at ARI, who allow the 16th-most points to WRs — recently Ladd McConkey put up 14.2 on them (W1).
5.5 PPR points against NE on 2/3 rec, 35 yd — right on his 7.9 projection (-2.4). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Cooper Kupp projects 7.6 PPR points in week 2 at ARI — the 16th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs ARI: 209 passing yards a game allowed (7.74/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ARI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 78% offensive snaps · 2.5 targets/game, 10.1% target share · 19% air-yard share (aDOT 12.6) · 2 catches for 27.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 75.6% offensive snaps, 4.4 targets/game, 16% target share, 14.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7.6), 2.9 catches for 37.1 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 4.3 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.2 · median 5.2 · ceiling 11.5 — 16% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Cooper Kupp in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ ARI | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 16th |
| W3 | @ WAS | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 8.6 | 15th |
| W4 | vs LAC | Sun, Oct 4 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 19th |
| W5 | vs SF | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.0 | 6.4 | 7.9 | 28th · tough |
| W6 | @ DEN | Thu, Oct 15 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 29th · tough |
| W7 | vs KC | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 7.5 | 31st · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NE | 2/3 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |