SEA — Week 9 vs ARI, who allow the 6th-most points to WRs — recently Marvin Mims Jr. put up 5.6 on them (W7), Ryan Flournoy put up 10.1 on them (W8).
7.7 PPR points against CHI on 1/3 rec, 7 yd, 1 TD — right on his 8.6 projection (-0.9). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Cooper Kupp projects 7.2 PPR points in week 9 vs ARI — the 6th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs ARI: 237.6 passing yards a game allowed (8.27/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 6th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ARI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 21% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 71% offensive snaps · 3.8 targets/game, 11.3% target share · 13.9% air-yard share (aDOT 8.4) · 2.4 catches for 25.8 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 75.6% offensive snaps, 4.4 targets/game, 16% target share, 14.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7.6), 2.9 catches for 37.1 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.2 · median 5 · ceiling 11.3 — 16% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Cooper Kupp in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs ARI | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 6th · soft |
| W10 | @ LV | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 8th · soft |
| W12 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 22nd |
| W13 | vs DAL | Mon, Dec 7 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 5th · soft |
| W14 | vs NYG | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 17th |
| W15 | @ PHI | Sat, Dec 19 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 1st · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CHI | 1/3 rec, 7 yd, 1 TD | 6.7 | 7.2 | 7.7 |
| W7 | KC | 2/2 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W6 | DEN | 5/10 rec, 50 yd | 5.0 | 7.5 | 10.0 |
| W5 | SF | 2/3 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| W4 | LAC | 1/2 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| W3 | WAS | 4/5 rec, 46 yd, 1 TD | 10.6 | 12.6 | 14.6 |
| W2 | ARI | 2/2 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W1 | NE | 2/3 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |