PHI · Questionable — Knee — Week 2 at TEN, who allow the 15th-most points to TEs — recently Kenyon Sadiq put up 8.4 on them (W1).
23.7 PPR points against WAS on 4/5 rec, 77 yd, 2 TD — beat his 9.8 projection by 13.9. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Dallas Goedert projects 10.2 PPR points in week 2 at TEN — the 15th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 23.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TEN: 215 passing yards a game allowed (8.96/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air — all of it adding up to the 15th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 95% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 14.3% target share · 12.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8) · 2.5 catches for 40.5 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 84.6% offensive snaps, 5.5 targets/game, 20.8% target share, 15.2% air-yard share (aDOT 7.1), 4 catches for 39.4 yards/game, 11 TD. (2025) TD luck: 11 scored vs 6.8 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.3 · median 7.5 · ceiling 14.2 — 31% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Dallas Goedert in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.5 | 8.3 | 10.2 | 15th |
| W3 | @ CHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 6.8 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 20th |
| W4 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.2 | 8.1 | 10.0 | 26th · tough |
| W5 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 9.3 | 22nd |
| W6 | vs CAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.1 | 8.0 | 9.9 | 11th |
| W7 | vs DAL | Mon, Oct 26 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 11.1 | 1st · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | WAS | 4/5 rec, 77 yd, 2 TD | 19.7 | 21.7 | 23.7 |