HOU — Week 9 at LAC, who allow the 26th-most points to TEs — recently Travis Kelce put up 5.3 on them (W6), Tyler Higbee put up 1.4 on them (W8).
Dalton Schultz projects 8.5 PPR points in week 9 at LAC — the 26th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 7.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs LAC: 207.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.42/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.9 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 26th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 39.5 receiving yards · 27% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 57.3% offensive snaps · 6.1 targets/game, 17.4% target share · 10.1% air-yard share (aDOT 5.6) · 4.7 catches for 46 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 71.1% offensive snaps, 6.2 targets/game, 19.1% target share, 15.2% air-yard share (aDOT 6.2), 4.8 catches for 45.7 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.3 · median 5.5 · ceiling 12.2 — 18% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Dalton Schultz in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.7 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 26th · tough |
| W10 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 11th |
| W11 | vs IND | Thu, Nov 19 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 5th · soft |
| W12 | vs BAL | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 8.6 | 15th |
| W13 | @ PIT | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 17th |
| W14 | @ WAS | Sun, Dec 13 | 5.5 | 7.6 | 9.6 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | NYG | 5/6 rec, 45 yd | 4.5 | 7.0 | 9.5 |
| W6 | JAX | 4/6 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 5.3 | 7.3 |
| W5 | TEN | 3/4 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| W4 | DAL | 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| W3 | IND | 3/3 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| W2 | CIN | 12/14 rec, 140 yd | 14.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 |
| W1 | BUF | 4/8 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 |