HOU — Week 2 vs CIN, who allow the 28th-most points to TEs — recently Cade Otton put up 2.6 on them (W1).
7.5 PPR points against BUF on 4/8 rec, 35 yd — right on his 9.4 projection (-1.9). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Dalton Schultz projects 10.7 PPR points in week 2 vs CIN — the 28th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 7.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs CIN: 216 passing yards a game allowed (7.71/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 28th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 66% offensive snaps · 11 targets/game, 24.8% target share · 15% air-yard share (aDOT 5.9) · 8 catches for 87.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 71.1% offensive snaps, 6.2 targets/game, 19.1% target share, 15.2% air-yard share (aDOT 6.2), 4.8 catches for 45.7 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 4.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.7 · median 7.9 · ceiling 14.5 — 32% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Dalton Schultz in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CIN | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 10.7 | 28th · tough |
| W3 | @ IND | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 9.4 | 18th |
| W4 | vs DAL | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.4 | 8.5 | 10.6 | 1st · soft |
| W5 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.2 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 15th |
| W6 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 22nd |
| W7 | vs NYG | Sun, Oct 25 | 5.1 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 25th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | BUF | 4/8 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 |