CHI — Week 9 vs TB, who allow the 31st-most points to RBs — recently Anthony Tyus III put up 8.3 on them (W7), Bijan Robinson put up 7.6 on them (W8).
27.9 PPR points against SEA on 27 car, 69 yd, 3 TD · 2/3 rec, 10 yd — beat his 14.7 projection by 13.2. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
D'Andre Swift projects 16.6 PPR points in week 9 vs TB — the 31st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 23.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs TB: 79.4 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.57 a carry · 0.4 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 69.5 rushing yards · 24.5 receiving yards · 61% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 63.5% offensive snaps · 17.9 carries/game (50.9% of team carries) · 62% of the backfield's touches · 3.5 targets/game, 10.7% target share · 68.1 rushing and 20.3 receiving yards/game, 10 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 57.9% offensive snaps, 13.9 carries/game (47.6% of team carries), 61.3% of the backfield's touches, 3 targets/game, 9.4% target share, 67.9 rushing and 18.7 receiving yards/game, 10 TD. (2026) TD luck: 10 scored vs 10.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 7.1 · median 14.8 · ceiling 22.4 — 76% chance of 10+, 50% of 15+, 21% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare D'Andre Swift in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 8 | 13.9 | 15.2 | 16.6 | 31st · tough |
| W11 | vs NO | Sun, Nov 22 | 13.0 | 14.3 | 15.5 | 1st · soft |
| W12 | @ DET | Thu, Nov 26 | 13.5 | 14.8 | 16.0 | 29th · tough |
| W13 | vs JAX | Sun, Dec 6 | 11.2 | 12.5 | 13.7 | 32nd · tough |
| W14 | @ MIA | Sun, Dec 13 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 15.4 | 10th |
| W15 | @ BUF | Sat, Dec 19 | 12.1 | 13.2 | 14.4 | 6th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | SEA | 27 car, 69 yd, 3 TD · 2/3 rec, 10 yd | 25.9 | 26.9 | 27.9 |
| W7 | NE | 22 car, 78 yd, 1 TD · 4/4 rec, 12 yd | 15.0 | 17.0 | 19.0 |
| W6 | ATL | 16 car, 44 yd, 2 TD · 4/5 rec, 26 yd | 19.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 |
| W5 | GB | 9 car, 43 yd, 1 TD · 4/5 rec, 30 yd | 13.3 | 15.3 | 17.3 |
| W4 | NYJ | 15 car, 58 yd · 2/2 rec, 16 yd · 1 fum | 5.4 | 6.4 | 7.4 |
| W3 | PHI | 20 car, 84 yd · 2/3 rec, 4 yd | 8.8 | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| W2 | MIN | 16 car, 45 yd · 5/6 rec, 54 yd · 1 fum | 7.9 | 10.4 | 12.9 |
| W1 | CAR | 18 car, 124 yd, 3 TD · 1/1 rec, 10 yd | 31.4 | 31.9 | 32.4 |