CHI — Week 2 vs MIN, who allow the 30th-most points to RBs — recently MarShawn Lloyd put up 3.7 on them (W1).
32.4 PPR points against CAR on 18 car, 124 yd, 3 TD · 1/1 rec, 10 yd — beat his 13.6 projection by 18.8. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
D'Andre Swift projects 12.6 PPR points in week 2 vs MIN — the 30th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 32.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs MIN: 66 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.14 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 57% offensive snaps · 17 carries/game (48.6% of team carries) · 62.5% of the backfield's touches · 3 targets/game, 10.3% target share · 84.5 rushing and 32 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 57.9% offensive snaps, 13.9 carries/game (47.6% of team carries), 61.3% of the backfield's touches, 3 targets/game, 9.4% target share, 67.9 rushing and 18.7 receiving yards/game, 10 TD. (2025) TD luck: 10 scored vs 9.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 5 · median 10.4 · ceiling 21.1 — 51% chance of 10+, 22% of 15+, 11% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare D'Andre Swift in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 20 | 10.5 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 30th · tough |
| W3 | vs PHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 10.0 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 18th |
| W4 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 4 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 14.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W5 | @ GB | Sun, Oct 11 | 10.6 | 11.7 | 12.9 | 11th |
| W6 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 18 | 11.1 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 29th · tough |
| W7 | vs NE | Thu, Oct 22 | 10.5 | 11.7 | 12.8 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CAR | 18 car, 124 yd, 3 TD · 1/1 rec, 10 yd | 31.4 | 31.9 | 32.4 |