TEN — Week 10 vs JAX, who allow the 23rd-most points to TEs — recently Foster Moreau put up 12.7 on them (W6), Tyler Warren put up 1.8 on them (W8).
6.6 PPR points against CIN on 3/4 rec, 36 yd — right on his 3.7 projection (+2.9). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Daniel Bellinger projects 2.1 PPR points in week 10 vs JAX — the 23rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 3.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs JAX: 264.3 passing yards a game allowed (7.64/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 1.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 43.1% offensive snaps · 1.9 targets/game, 6.3% target share · 3.3% air-yard share (aDOT 4.2) · 1.1 catches for 8.8 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 49.9% offensive snaps, 2 targets/game, 6.3% target share, 6.6% air-yard share (aDOT 9.4), 1.5 catches for 22 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Daniel Bellinger in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 15 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 23rd |
| W11 | @ DAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 19th |
| W12 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 29 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 23rd |
| W13 | vs WAS | Sun, Dec 6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2nd · soft |
| W14 | @ DET | Sun, Dec 13 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1st · soft |
| W15 | vs IND | Sun, Dec 20 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CIN | 3/4 rec, 36 yd | 3.6 | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| W7 | CLE | 1/2 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| W5 | HOU | 1/2 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W4 | BAL | 1/1 rec, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| W3 | NYG | 2/2 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| W1 | NYJ | 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |