NYG — Week 2 at LAR, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Deebo Samuel put up 12 on them (W1).
4.7 PPR points against DAL on 2/2 rec, 27 yd — right on his 6.0 projection (-1.3). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Darnell Mooney projects 4.3 PPR points in week 2 at LAR — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 4.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAR: 205 passing yards a game allowed (6.03/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 11.5 receiving yards · 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 57% offensive snaps · 2 targets/game, 6.9% target share · 10.2% air-yard share (aDOT 12.5) · 2 catches for 27 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 81.9% offensive snaps, 4.8 targets/game, 16.2% target share, 28% air-yard share (aDOT 14.2), 2.1 catches for 29.5 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 3.1 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 2.8 · ceiling 7.8 — 5% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Darnell Mooney in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ LAR | Mon, Sep 21 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4th · soft |
| W3 | vs TEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 17th |
| W4 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 16th |
| W5 | @ WAS | Sun, Oct 11 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 15th |
| W6 | vs NO | Sun, Oct 18 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 11th |
| W7 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 25 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DAL | 2/2 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 3.7 | 4.7 |