CAR — Week 8 at GB, who allow the 31st-most points to TEs — recently Brevyn Spann-Ford put up 3.5 on them (W6), Sam LaPorta put up 1.8 on them (W7).
12.0 PPR points against TB on 1/2 rec, 50 yd, 1 TD — beat his 7.6 projection by 4.4. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Darren Waller projects 7.6 PPR points in week 8 at GB — the 31st-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs GB: 222.6 passing yards a game allowed (6.41/attempt) · 1.3 TDs/gm through the air · 1.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how GB defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 45.7% offensive snaps · 3.6 targets/game, 9.7% target share · 10.8% air-yard share (aDOT 9.4) · 2.1 catches for 29.9 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 45% offensive snaps, 3.8 targets/game, 14.6% target share, 22.1% air-yard share (aDOT 10.6), 2.7 catches for 31.4 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.7 · median 5 · ceiling 12.3 — 18% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Darren Waller in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ GB | Thu, Oct 29 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 31st · tough |
| W9 | vs DEN | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 11th |
| W10 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 7th · soft |
| W11 | vs BAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 16th |
| W12 | @ TB | Mon, Nov 30 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 9th |
| W13 | @ MIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 32nd · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | TB | 1/2 rec, 50 yd, 1 TD | 11.0 | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| W4 | DET | 3/6 rec, 36 yd | 3.6 | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| W3 | CLE | 5/8 rec, 51 yd | 5.1 | 7.6 | 10.1 |
| W2 | ATL | 3/3 rec, 33 yd, 2 TD | 15.3 | 16.8 | 18.3 |
| W1 | CHI | 2/2 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 |