LAR — Week 2 vs NYG, who allow the 18th-most points to WRs — recently CeeDee Lamb put up 10.4 on them (W1).
5.6 PPR points against SF on 3/6 rec, 26 yd — missed his 12.3 projection by 6.7. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Davante Adams projects 12.1 PPR points in week 2 vs NYG — the 18th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYG: 175 passing yards a game allowed (5.15/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 67.5 receiving yards · 52% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 54% offensive snaps · 6 targets/game, 22.2% target share · 28.6% air-yard share (aDOT 12.2) · 3 catches for 26 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 71.4% offensive snaps, 8.1 targets/game, 25.1% target share, 35.7% air-yard share (aDOT 12.7), 4.3 catches for 56.4 yards/game, 14 TD. (2025) TD luck: 14 scored vs 17 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.8 · median 9 · ceiling 18.1 — 45% chance of 10+, 20% of 15+, 6% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Davante Adams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 8.3 | 10.2 | 12.1 | 18th |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 7.2 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 29th · tough |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 11.0 | 9th |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 8.1 | 9.9 | 11.7 | 8th · soft |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 12.7 | 16th |
| W7 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 25 | 8.4 | 10.4 | 12.4 | 20th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SF | 3/6 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 4.1 | 5.6 |