LAC · IR — Lower Leg — Week 10 at BAL, who allow the 15th-most points to TEs — recently Drew Sample put up 8.4 on them (W7), Dalton Kincaid put up 14.6 on them (W8).
David Njoku projects 4.1 PPR points in week 10 at BAL — the 15th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 6.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs BAL: 241.9 passing yards a game allowed (7.41/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 15th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 35.5% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 15% target share · 9.8% air-yard share (aDOT 6.6) · 3 catches for 33.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (11 games): 63.9% offensive snaps, 4.4 targets/game, 12.5% target share, 9.1% air-yard share (aDOT 5.3), 3 catches for 26.6 yards/game, 4 TD. (2025) TD luck: 4 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare David Njoku in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ BAL | Mon, Nov 16 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 15th |
| W11 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 22 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 18th |
| W12 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 24th |
| W13 | @ TB | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 12th |
| W14 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 13 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 4th · soft |
| W15 | vs SF | Thu, Dec 17 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 25th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | LV | 1/3 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W1 | ARI | 5/5 rec, 58 yd | 5.8 | 8.3 | 10.8 |