LAC · Out — Knee — Week 2 vs LV, who allow the 29th-most points to TEs — recently Greg Dulcich put up 1.8 on them (W1).
10.8 PPR points against ARI on 5/5 rec, 58 yd — beat his 4.0 projection by 6.8. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
David Njoku projects 3.9 PPR points in week 2 vs LV — the 29th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 10.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LV: 220 passing yards a game allowed (8.15/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how LV defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 55% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 15% target share · 9.8% air-yard share (aDOT 6.6) · 3 catches for 33.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (11 games): 63.9% offensive snaps, 4.4 targets/game, 12.5% target share, 9.1% air-yard share (aDOT 5.3), 3 catches for 26.6 yards/game, 4 TD. (2025) TD luck: 4 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1 · median 2.5 · ceiling 6.1 — 1% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare David Njoku in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 20 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 29th · tough |
| W3 | @ BUF | Sun, Sep 27 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 19th |
| W4 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 14th |
| W5 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 16th |
| W6 | @ KC | Sun, Oct 18 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 10th |
| W8 | @ LAR | Sun, Nov 1 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 26th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | ARI | 5/5 rec, 58 yd | 5.8 | 8.3 | 10.8 |