TB · IR — Undisclosed — Week 2 vs CLE, who allow the 22nd-most points to WRs — recently Scotty Miller put up 2.5 on them (W17), Ja'Marr Chase put up 15.6 on them (W18).
David Sills projects 0.5 PPR points in week 2 vs CLE — the 22nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs CLE: 189.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.61/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 22nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 4% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 52.4% offensive snaps · 10.1% target share · 14.1% air-yard share (aDOT 11.2). TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare David Sills in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CLE | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 22nd |
| W3 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W4 | vs GB | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 14th |
| W5 | @ DAL | Thu, Oct 8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1st · soft |
| W6 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 8th · soft |
| W7 | @ CAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 25th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | NO | 1/1 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W17 | LAR | 3/4 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 5.2 | 6.7 |
| W15 | TB | 6/10 rec, 78 yd | 7.8 | 10.8 | 13.8 |
| W13 | NYJ | 2/4 rec, 15 yd, 1 TD | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| W12 | NO | 2/3 rec, 16 yd, 1 TD | 7.6 | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| W11 | CAR | 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W8 | MIA | 2/3 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| W3 | CAR | 1/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |