SF — Week 1 at LAR, who allow the 12th-most points to WRs — recently David Sills put up 3.7 on them (W17), Michael Wilson put up 15.9 on them (W18).
Demarcus Robinson projects 2.8 PPR points in week 1 at LAR — the 12th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs LAR: 232.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.73/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 11.5 receiving yards · 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 46.8% offensive snaps · 7.6% target share · 14.3% air-yard share (aDOT 13.5). TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Demarcus Robinson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ LAR | Thu, Sep 10 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 12th |
| W2 | vs MIA | Sun, Sep 20 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 17th |
| W3 | vs ARI | Sun, Sep 27 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 19th |
| W4 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 31st · tough |
| W5 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 11 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 29th · tough |
| W6 | vs WAS | Mon, Oct 19 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 6th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | SEA | 3/4 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| W17 | CHI | 2/2 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| W16 | IND | 2/2 rec, 23 yd, 1 TD | 8.3 | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| W15 | TEN | 2/2 rec, 36 yd | 3.6 | 4.6 | 5.6 |
| W13 | CLE | 1 car, 6 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| W12 | CAR | 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W11 | ARI | 1/2 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| W10 | LAR | 3/4 rec, 34 yd | 3.4 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| W8 | HOU | 2/3 rec, 5 yd | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| W6 | TB | 2/3 rec, 44 yd | 4.4 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| W5 | LAR | 3/7 rec, 39 yd | 3.9 | 5.4 | 6.9 |
| W4 | JAX | 1/2 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 |