NE — Week 9 vs GB, who allow the 15th-most points to WRs — recently Jameson Williams put up 21.1 on them (W7), Jalen Coker put up 7.6 on them (W8).
16.6 PPR points against MIA on 3/3 rec, 76 yd, 1 TD — beat his 9.1 projection by 7.5. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
DeMario Douglas projects 6.9 PPR points in week 9 vs GB — the 15th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 13.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs GB: 220.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.22/attempt) · 1.3 TDs/gm through the air · 1.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 15th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how GB defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 28% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 56.5% offensive snaps · 4.6 targets/game, 16.1% target share · 17.9% air-yard share (aDOT 10.6) · 3.3 catches for 41.5 yards/game, 4 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 25.9% offensive snaps, 2.9 targets/game, 9.8% target share, 10.1% air-yard share (aDOT 9.7), 1.9 catches for 27.9 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 4 scored vs 2.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 4.3 · ceiling 12.6 — 17% chance of 10+, 7% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare DeMario Douglas in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs GB | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 15th |
| W10 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 7th · soft |
| W12 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 18th |
| W13 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 3rd · soft |
| W14 | vs MIN | Thu, Dec 10 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 30th · tough |
| W15 | @ KC | Mon, Dec 21 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 31st · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | MIA | 3/3 rec, 76 yd, 1 TD | 13.6 | 15.1 | 16.6 |
| W7 | CHI | 3/4 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| W6 | NYJ | 7/8 rec, 86 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum | 12.6 | 16.1 | 19.6 |
| W5 | LV | 4/5 rec, 65 yd, 2 TD | 18.5 | 20.5 | 22.5 |
| W4 | BUF | 2/3 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| W3 | JAX | 1/5 rec, 38 yd | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| W2 | PIT | 1/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W1 | SEA | 5/7 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 4.5 | 7.0 |