CLE · Questionable — Calf — Week 9 at NO, who allow the 19th-most points to WRs — recently Malik Nabers put up 16.5 on them (W6), DK Metcalf put up 5.6 on them (W7).
9.7 PPR points against PIT on 6/12 rec, 37 yd — right on his 10.5 projection (-0.8). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Denzel Boston projects 10.6 PPR points in week 9 at NO — the 19th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NO: 249.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.6/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 49.5 receiving yards · 28% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 90.3% offensive snaps · 6.6 targets/game, 21% target share · 45.4% air-yard share (aDOT 15.1) · 3.3 catches for 51.1 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.3 · median 7.8 · ceiling 16.6 — 38% chance of 10+, 17% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Denzel Boston in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 8 | 7.6 | 9.1 | 10.6 | 19th |
| W10 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.8 | 9.2 | 10.7 | 4th · soft |
| W12 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.9 | 9.4 | 10.8 | 8th · soft |
| W13 | vs CIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 8.1 | 9.5 | 11.0 | 12th |
| W14 | vs ATL | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 10.3 | 16th |
| W15 | @ NYG | Sun, Dec 20 | 7.7 | 9.2 | 10.7 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | PIT | 6/12 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 6.7 | 9.7 |
| W7 | TEN | 3/8 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 4.2 | 5.7 |
| W6 | BAL | 1/5 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| W5 | NYJ | 3/7 rec, 46 yd, 1 TD | 10.6 | 12.1 | 13.6 |
| W4 | PIT | 4/7 rec, 89 yd | 8.9 | 10.9 | 12.9 |
| W3 | CAR | 2/4 rec, 41 yd | 6.1 | 7.1 | 8.1 |
| W2 | TB | 5/7 rec, 95 yd, 1 TD | 15.5 | 18.0 | 20.5 |
| W1 | JAX | 2/4 rec, 59 yd, 1 TD | 11.9 | 12.9 | 13.9 |