LAC — Week 1 vs ARI, who allow the 19th-most points to WRs — recently Ja'Marr Chase put up 18 on them (W17), Puka Nacua put up 16 on them (W18).
Derius Davis projects 0.2 PPR points in week 1 vs ARI — the 19th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 0.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs ARI: 242.8 passing yards a game allowed (7.22/attempt) · 1.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ARI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 11.1% offensive snaps · 0.9% target share · 1.4% air-yard share (aDOT 11). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Derius Davis in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs ARI | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 19th |
| W2 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 11th |
| W3 | @ BUF | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 23rd |
| W4 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 29th · tough |
| W5 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 31st · tough |
| W6 | @ KC | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 28th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | DEN | 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W10 | PIT | 1/1 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| W3 | DEN | 1 car, 2 yd · 1 fum | -1.8 | -1.8 | -1.8 |
| W1 | KC | 1 car, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |