CLE — Week 2 at TB, who allow the 20th-most points to QBs — recently Joe Burrow put up 15.2 on them (W1).
15.0 PPR points against JAX on 16/22, 205 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 6 car, 38 yd — right on his 14.1 projection (+0.9). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Deshaun Watson projects 13.9 PPR points in week 2 at TB — the 20th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 15 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TB: 254 passing yards a game allowed (7.26/attempt) · 1 passing TDs/gm · 1 sacks and 1 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 20 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 20th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 100% offensive snaps · 26 attempts/game, 76.9% completions, 8.5 yards/attempt, 221.5 passing yards/game, 3 TD to 1 INT · 6.5 carries/game. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 5.4 · median 13.6 · ceiling 23.3 — 67% chance of 10+, 42% of 15+, 20% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Deshaun Watson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TB | Sun, Sep 20 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 20th |
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 1st · soft |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 30th · tough |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 26th · tough |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 28th · tough |
| W7 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | JAX | 16/22, 205 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 6 car, 38 yd | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 |