CLE · Questionable — Concussion — Week 10 vs HOU, who allow the 12th-most points to QBs — recently Trevor Lawrence put up 28.3 on them (W6), J.J. McCarthy put up 10.2 on them (W7).
11.2 PPR points against PIT on 27/39, 324 pass yd · 3 car, 2 yd · 1 fum — right on his 13.9 projection (-2.7). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Deshaun Watson projects 14.2 PPR points in week 10 vs HOU — the 12th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 13.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs HOU: 262.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.48/attempt) · 1.4 passing TDs/gm · 3 sacks and 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 230.5 passing yards · 1.46 passing TDs · 21.5 rushing yards · 21% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 99.1% offensive snaps · 31.1 attempts/game, 65.5% completions, 7.3 yards/attempt, 225.8 passing yards/game, 7 TD to 3 INT · 6.4 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 7 thrown vs 8.1 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Deshaun Watson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 15 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 12th |
| W12 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | PIT | 27/39, 324 pass yd · 3 car, 2 yd · 1 fum | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| W7 | TEN | 25/36, 308 pass yd, 1 INT · 3 car, 19 yd, 1 TD | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| W6 | BAL | 16/26, 164 pass yd · 8 car, 29 yd | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| W5 | NYJ | 15/33, 155 pass yd, 1 TD · 6 car, 40 yd · 1 fum | 12.2 | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| W4 | PIT | 24/33, 268 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 7 car, 22 yd · 1 fum | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 |
| W3 | CAR | 16/30, 144 pass yd, 2 TD · 11 car, 45 yd | 20.3 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
| W2 | TB | 24/30, 238 pass yd, 2 TD · 7 car, 22 yd | 19.7 | 19.7 | 19.7 |
| W1 | JAX | 16/22, 205 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 6 car, 38 yd | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 |