NO — Week 2 at BAL, who allow the 24th-most points to WRs — recently Alec Pierce put up 6.1 on them (W1).
19.9 PPR points against DET on 7/9 rec, 69 yd, 1 TD — beat his 9.8 projection by 10.1. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Devaughn Vele projects 9.6 PPR points in week 2 at BAL — the 24th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 19.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs BAL: 166 passing yards a game allowed (5.35/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 91% offensive snaps · 8 targets/game, 19.6% target share · 22.7% air-yard share (aDOT 8.3) · 6 catches for 66.5 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 50.2% offensive snaps, 4.3 targets/game, 13.3% target share, 18% air-yard share (aDOT 11.1), 2.8 catches for 32.6 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.1 · median 6 · ceiling 16.4 — 27% chance of 10+, 15% of 15+, 7% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Devaughn Vele in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ BAL | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 24th |
| W3 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 20th |
| W4 | vs ATL | Mon, Oct 5 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 25th · tough |
| W5 | vs MIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 1st · soft |
| W6 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 18 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 18th |
| W7 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 32nd · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DET | 7/9 rec, 69 yd, 1 TD | 12.9 | 16.4 | 19.9 |